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nurban uncertainty [43 articles]

最近 nurban さんのライブラリに追加された論文の中から タグ uncertainty. You can also see everyone's uncertainty.
  • Negative learning
    Climatic Change, Vol. 89, No. 1. (1 July 2008), pp. 155-172.
    by Michael Oppenheimer, Brian O’neill, Mort Webster
    posted to uncertainty stratosphere policy ozone learning ice decision-theory climate bias antarctic by nurban on 2008-09-23 20:55:18 as **
  • Reducing uncertainty about carbon dioxide as a climate driver
    Nature, Vol. 419, No. 6903. (2002), pp. 188-190.
    by Lee R Kump
    posted to water-vapor uncertainty radiative-forcing paleoclimate ghg feedback co2 climate by nurban on 2008-09-22 21:56:38 as **
  • Missing feedbacks, asymmetric uncertainties, and the underestimation of future warming
    Geophysical Research Letters, Vol. 33 (26 May 2006), L10703.
    by Margaret S Torn, John Harte
    posted to uncertainty paleoclimate overconfidence nonlinear methane interglacial ice-age glacial feedback dynamics co2 climate-sensitivity climate bias by nurban on 2008-09-21 14:01:19 as **
  • Completing the Forecast: Characterizing and Communicating Uncertainty for Better Decisions Using Weather and Climate Forecasts
    (2006)
    by Committee
    posted to weather uncertainty prediction forecasting climate by nurban on 2008-09-17 19:40:06 as **
  • Uncertainty and Inference for Verification Measures
    Weather and Forecasting, Vol. 22, No. 3. (2007), pp. 637-650.
    by Ian T Jolliffe
    posted to weather validation uncertainty statistics skill prediction frequentist forecasting confidence-interval bayesian by nurban on 2008-09-17 13:54:13 as **
  • Using the current seasonal cycle to constrain snow albedo feedback in future climate change
    Geophysical Research Letters, Vol. 33 (3 February 2006), L03502.
    by Alex Hall, Xin Qu
    posted to uncertainty snow seasonal projections feedback climate-sensitivity climate bias albedo by nurban on 2008-09-16 20:02:28 as **
  • Probabilistic forecasts, calibration and sharpness
    Journal of the Royal Statistical Society: Series B (Statistical Methodology), Vol. 69, No. 2. (April 2007), pp. 243-268.
    by Gneiting, Tilmann, Balabdaoui, Fadoua, Raftery, E Adrian
    posted to weather uncertainty statistics skill probability forecasting climate calibration by nurban on 2008-09-16 19:37:43 as ** along with 1 person and 1 group abrentnall QFRMC_ConsumerCredit
  • Predictive Models of Forest Dynamics
    Science, Vol. 320, No. 5882. (13 June 2008), pp. 1452-1453.
    by Drew Purves, Stephen Pacala
    posted to climate dynamics ecology ecosystem prediction uncertainty vegetation by nurban on 2008-08-26 14:17:07 as ** along with 1 person skumagai
  • Uncertainty and predictability in geophysics: Chaos and multifractal insights
    Vol. 150 (2004), pp. 317-334.
    by Daniel Schertzer, Shaun Lovejoy
    posted to climate dynamics nonlinear prediction skill stochastic uncertainty by nurban on 2008-08-21 19:09:23 as **
  • Model error in weather and climate forecasting
    by Myles Allen, Jamie Kettleborough, David Stainforth
    posted to bias climate error model uncertainty weather by nurban on 2008-08-21 18:20:34 as **
  • Optimal Control Models and Elicitation of Attitudes towards Climate Damages
    Environmental Modeling and Assessment, Vol. 8, No. 3. (2003), pp. 133-147.
    by Philippe Ambrosi, Jean-Charles Hourcade, Stéphane Hallegatte, Franck Lecocq, Patrice Dumas, Minh H Duong
    posted to climate economics impacts model optimal uncertainty by nurban on 2008-08-07 15:56:46 as **
  • Uncertainty in Environmental Economics
    Rev Environ Econ Policy, Vol. 1, No. 1. (1 January 2007), pp. 45-65.
    by Robert S Pindyck
    posted to climate economics environment uncertainty by nurban on 2008-08-07 15:53:22 as **
  • Climate change, the Hurst phenomenon, and hydrological statistics
    Hydrological Sciences Journal, Vol. 48, No. 1. (2003), pp. 3-24.
    by Demetris Koutsoyiannis
    posted to autocorrelation climate dynamics entropy hydrology ltp scaling statistics time-series uncertainty by nurban on 2008-08-05 19:33:28 as **
  • Uncertainty, entropy, scaling and hydrological statistics. 1. Marginal distributional properties of hydrological processes and state scaling
    Hydrological Sciences Journal, Vol. 50, No. 3. (2005), pp. 381-404.
    by Demetris Koutsoyiannis
    posted to autocorrelation climate dynamics entropy hydrology ltp scaling statistics time-series uncertainty by nurban on 2008-08-05 19:29:17 as **
  • Calculation of probability density functions for temperature and precipitation change under global warming
    Journal of Geophysical Research, Vol. 113 (21 June 2008), D12106.
    by IG Watterson
    posted to australia climate global model precipitation projections regional temperature uncertainty by nurban on 2008-08-05 19:26:17 as **
  • Two Approaches to Quantifying Uncertainty in Global Temperature Changes
    Journal of Climate, Vol. 19, No. 19. (1 October 2006), pp. 4785-4796.
    by Ana Lopez, Claudia Tebaldi, Mark New, Dave Stainforth, Myles Allen, Jamie Kettleborough
    posted to bayesian climate fingerprint global statistics temperature uncertainty by nurban on 2008-08-05 19:23:50 as **
  • Hierarchical evaluation of IPCC AR4 coupled climate models with systematic consideration of model uncertainties
    Climate Dynamics, Vol. 29, No. 7. (13 December 2007), pp. 853-868.
    by Seung-Ki Min, Andreas Hense
    posted to bayesian bma climate ensemble gcm hierarchical hindcast ipcc model regional skill statistics uncertainty by nurban on 2008-08-05 19:00:30 as **
  • Uncertainty in predictions of the climate response to rising levels of greenhouse gases
    Nature, Vol. 433, No. 7024. (27 January 2005), pp. 403-406.
    by DA Stainforth, T Aina, C Christensen, M Collins, N Faull, DJ Frame, JA Kettleborough, S Knight, A Martin, JM Murphy, C Piani, D Sexton, LA Smith, RA Spicer, AJ Thorpe, MR Allen
    posted to climate ensemble prediction projections uncertainty by nurban on 2008-08-05 17:24:47 as ** along with 3 people and 2 groups Flit vassilyl tamsinedwards biodiversity_conservation Global_biodiversity_model
  • Issues in the interpretation of climate model ensembles to inform decisions
    Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society A: Mathematical, Physical and Engineering Sciences, Vol. 365, No. 1857. (2007), pp. 2163-2177.
    by David A Stainforth, Thomas E Downing, Richard Washington, Ana Lopez, Mark New
    posted to adaptation bias climate decision-theory ensemble error impacts model policy prediction regional statistics uncertainty by nurban on 2008-08-05 17:02:04 as ** along with 1 person tamsinedwards
  • Confidence, uncertainty and decision-support relevance in climate predictions
    Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society A: Mathematical, Physical and Engineering Sciences, Vol. 365, No. 1857. (2007), pp. 2145-2161.
    by DA Stainforth, MR Allen, ER Tredger, LA Smith
    posted to bias climate decision-theory ensemble error model prediction statistics uncertainty by nurban on 2008-08-05 17:01:13 as ** along with 1 person tamsinedwards
  • Probabilistic climate scenarios may misrepresent uncertainty and lead to bad adaptation decisions
    Hydrological Processes, Vol. 21, No. 8. (2007), pp. 1127-1129.
    by Jim Hall
    posted to adaptation climate overconfidence probability uncertainty by nurban on 2008-08-04 17:31:42 as **
  • Statistical analysis of hydroclimatic time series: Uncertainty and insights
    Water Resources Research, Vol. 43 (22 May 2007), W05429.
    by Demetris Koutsoyiannis, Alberto Montanari
    posted to autocorrelation climate hydrology ltp statistics time-series uncertainty by nurban on 2008-07-30 16:00:05 as **
  • A Bayesian approach to fusing uncertain, imprecise and conflicting information
    Information Fusion, Vol. 9, No. 2. (April 2008), pp. 259-277.
    by Simon Maskell
    posted to bayesian statistics uncertainty by nurban on 2008-07-21 15:33:00 as ** along with 2 people fheintz assad79
  • Observations of the Infrared Outgoing Spectrum of the Earth from Space: The Effects of Temporal and Spatial Sampling
    Journal of Climate, Vol. 16, No. 22. (1 November 2003), pp. 3820-3833.
    by HE Brindley, JE Harries
    posted to climate cloud error feedback ghg longwave observations radiation radiative-forcing sampling satellite spatial spectral statistics time-series uncertainty by nurban on 2008-07-15 17:32:09 as **
  • A nonlinear dynamical perspective on model error: A proposal for non-local stochastic-dynamic parametrization in weather and climate prediction models
    Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, Vol. 127, No. 572. (2001), pp. 279-304.
    by TN Palmer
    posted to climate dynamics error model nonlinear prediction skill stochastic uncertainty weather by nurban on 2008-07-03 15:54:00 as **
  • REPRESENTING MODEL UNCERTAINTY IN WEATHER AND CLIMATE PREDICTION
    Annual Review of Earth and Planetary Sciences, Vol. 33, No. 1. (2005), pp. 163-193.
    by TN Palmer, GJ Shutts, R Hagedorn, Doblas FJ Reyes, T Jung, M Leutbecher
    posted to climate dynamics model prediction skill stochastic uncertainty weather by nurban on 2008-07-03 15:47:54 as **
  • A Review of Uncertainties in Global Temperature Projections over the Twenty-First Century
    Journal of Climate, Vol. 21, No. 11. (1 June 2008), pp. 2651-2663.
    by R Knutti, MR Allen, P Friedlingstein, JM Gregory, GC Hegerl, GA Meehl, M Meinshausen, JM Murphy, GK Plattner, SCB Raper, TF Stocker, PA Stott, H Teng, TML Wigley
    posted to climate climate-sensitivity error intermodel projections temperature uncertainty by nurban on 2008-07-02 15:23:37 as ** along with 1 person Magik
  • Bayesian learning, growth, and pollution
    Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Vol. 23, No. 4. (24 February 1999), pp. 491-518.
    by David L Kelly, Charles D Kolstad
    posted to uncertainty policy optimal learning endogeneous economics climate-sensitivity climate abatement by nurban on 2008-06-06 17:48:28 as **
  • Quantifying error in the radiative forcing of the first aerosol indirect effect
    Geophysical Research Letters, Vol. 35 (26 January 2008), L02810.
    by Allison Mccomiskey, Graham Feingold
    posted to aerosol climate cloud error feedback radiative-forcing uncertainty by nurban on 2008-06-05 15:07:05 as **
  • Quantification of modelling uncertainties in a large ensemble of climate change simulations
    Nature, Vol. 430, No. 7001. (2004), pp. 768-772.
    by James M Murphy, David M Sexton, David N Barnett, Gareth S Jones, Mark J Webb, Matthew Collins, David A Stainforth
    posted to uncertainty statistics sensitivity overconfidence model gcm error ensemble climate-sensitivity climate by nurban on 2008-01-08 15:06:32 as ** along with 3 people and 2 groups Flit mbenito tamsinedwards biodiversity_conservation Global_biodiversity_model
  • CLIMATE: To Hedge or Not Against an Uncertain Climate Future?
    Science, Vol. 306, No. 5695. (15 October 2004), pp. 416-417.
    by Gary Yohe, Natasha Andronova, Michael Schlesinger
    posted to abatement carbon climate climate-sensitivity co2 economics mitigation policy uncertainty by nurban on 2007-10-26 15:57:58 as ** along with 1 person mrobles
  • ATMOSPHERE: Call Off the Quest
    Science, Vol. 318, No. 5850. (26 October 2007), pp. 582-583.
    by Myles R Allen, David J Frame
    posted to climate climate-sensitivity feedback nonlinear prediction probability statistics uncertainty by nurban on 2007-10-25 22:09:59 as **
  • Why Is Climate Sensitivity So Unpredictable?
    Science, Vol. 318, No. 5850. (26 October 2007), pp. 629-632.
    by Gerard H Roe, Marcia B Baker
    posted to climate climate-sensitivity feedback nonlinear prediction probability statistics uncertainty by nurban on 2007-10-25 22:09:31 as ** along with 1 person Stockman
  • Tropical vertical temperature trends: A real discrepancy?
    Geophysical Research Letters, Vol. 34 (16 August 2007), L16702.
    by PW Thorne, DE Parker, BD Santer, MP Mccarthy, DMH Sexton, MJ Webb, JM Murphy, M Collins, HA Titchner, GS Jones
    posted to atmosphere bias climate lapse-rate sensitivity temperature trend tropics uncertainty by nurban on 2007-09-07 15:40:39 as **
  • Infinite uncertainty, forgotten feedbacks, and cost-benefit analysis of climate policy
    Climatic Change, Vol. 83, No. 4. (2007), pp. 429-442.
    by Richard Tol, Gary Yohe
    posted to climate economics feedback impacts policy uncertainty by nurban on 2007-08-28 21:16:19 as ** along with 1 person schwa0
  • Ensemble climate predictions using climate models and observational constraints
    Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society A: Mathematical, Physical and Engineering Sciences, Vol. 365, No. 1857. (2007), pp. 2029-2052.
    by Peter A Stott, Chris E Forest
    posted to assimilation climate ensemble intercomparison model prediction uncertainty by nurban on 2007-08-13 15:25:15 as ** along with 1 person tamsinedwards
  • The Met Office Hadley Centre climate modelling capability: the competing requirements for improved resolution, complexity and dealing with uncertainty
    Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society A: Mathematical, Physical and Engineering Sciences
    by V Pope, S Brown, R Clark, M Collins, W Collins, C Dearden, J Gunson, G Harris, C Jones, A Keen, J Lowe, M Ringer, C Senior, S Sitch, M Webb, S Woodward
    posted to climate gcm model uncertainty by nurban on 2007-08-13 14:22:42 as **
  • Two Approaches to Quantifying Uncertainty in Global Temperature Changes
    Journal of Climate, Vol. 19, No. 19. (2006), pp. 4785-4796.
    by Ana Lopez, Claudia Tebaldi, Mark Newc, Dave Stainforth, Myles Allen, Jamie Kettleborough
    posted to bias climate global prediction projections temperature uncertainty variance by nurban on 2007-07-25 16:09:36 as **
  • Estimates of Uncertainty in Predictions of Global Mean Surface Temperature
    Journal of Climate, Vol. 20, No. 5. (2007), pp. 843-855.
    by JA Kettleborough, BBB Booth, PA Stott, MR Allen
    posted to climate ensemble model prediction temperature uncertainty by nurban on 2007-07-17 14:10:02 as **
  • Communicating uncertainty in the IPCCs greenhouse gas emissions scenarios
    Climatic Change, Vol. 82, No. 3-4. (June 2007), pp. 293-308.
    by Schenk, Niels, Lensink, Sander
    posted to climate emissions ghg ipcc projections sres uncertainty by nurban on 2007-05-29 17:35:49 as **
  • Incorporating model uncertainty into attribution of observed temperature change
    Geophysical Research Letters, Vol. 33 (14 March 2006), L05710.
    by Chris Huntingford, Peter A Stott, Myles R Allen, Hugo F Lambert
    posted to climate intermodel model uncertainty warming by nurban on 2007-03-26 14:43:24 as **
  • Climate change uncertainty for daily minimum and maximum temperatures: A model inter-comparison
    Geophysical Research Letters, Vol. 34 (15 March 2007), L05715.
    by David B Lobell, Céline Bonfils, Philip B Duffy
    posted to variation uncertainty temperature model extreme diurnal climate by nurban on 2007-03-26 14:36:02 as **
  • Predicting uncertainty in forecasts of weather and climate
    Reports on Progress in Physics, Vol. 63, No. 2. (2000), pp. 71-116.
    by TN Palmer
    posted to climate dynamics enso forecasting prediction projections skill uncertainty weather by nurban on 2007-02-19 21:27:32 as **
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