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House Members Who Become Senators: Learning from a 'Natural Experiment' in Representation

by: Bernard Grofman, Robert Griffin, Gregory Berry
Legislative Studies Quarterly, Vol. 20, No. 4. (1995), pp. 513-529.


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Using AFL-CIO COPE roll-call voting scores, we show that the voting behavior of a House member who moves to the Senate is virtually indistinguishable from the voting behavior of both the mean House member and the incumbent senator from the new senator's state and party, and that the representative's voting behavior exhibits little systematic change after moving from the House. Moreover, what change there is cannot generally be interpreted as a move in the direction of the state's median voter. However, the directionality of our results is consistent with the Glazer and Robins (1985a) finding that when their constituencies change, Democrats are likely to be unresponsive to a change in constituency policy preferences unless it involves a shift to the left, while Republicans are likely to be unresponsive to a change in constituency policy preference unless it involves a shift to the right.


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